[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2026041519523289820":3,"related-JP2026041519523289820":30},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"articleTitle":11,"coverImage":12,"listImage":12,"introduction":13,"description":14,"nonVipDescription":15,"postTime":16,"viewTime":16,"sortNumber":17,"isFree":18,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":18,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":18,"hasAdvertising":18,"createBy":19,"updateBy":19,"createTime":20,"visitCount":21,"isLiked":18,"realSearch":22,"isRead":18,"productId":23,"isCollected":18,"collectCount":10,"vipExclusive":18,"allowComment":7,"style":24,"canCopy":18,"likeCount":25,"seoKeywords":15,"articleModuleVoList":26,"extendContentList":27,"noteCount":7,"categoryList":28,"dailyKeywordList":29},10,8003,"1",1,"JP2026041519523289820","1041018",3,"到底存多少钱，才敢退休？","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F53eafc33-be89-4cc7-a799-965daf8524c1.jpg","一套实用的退休规划框架","\u003Cdiv>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  ⏳\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cbr>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">前几天和朋友聊天，她说他们家的FIRE计划\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（提前退休）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">又往后推了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">本来，她老公说「存到300万就够了，我们可以轻松点」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"\">后来投资赚了些钱，改口说「得500万才安心」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">再后来孩子要上学了，又变成「怎么也得1000万吧」…\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">她问我：「你说，到底有没有答案？」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">说实话，这个问题挺难回答的。它有太多变量：你想过什么样的退休生活？你打算几岁退休？未来通胀会是什么样？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">不过，最近我读到晨星发布的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">《2025年度退休收入报告》\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，里面的思考框架让我很受启发。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\" textstyle=\"\">*报告链接（复制-搜一搜）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\" textstyle=\"\">https:\u002F\u002Fi.jane7.com\u002Fs\u002Fou9Sfu8jSAXf?ch=\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">今天想和你分享其中最重要的几件事。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">01\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">一个核心问题：每年能花多少？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">退休规划的核心问题，其实就一个：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">我每年能从积蓄里拿出多少钱花，才不会在有生之年把钱花光？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">晨星的研究团队，基于对未来30年市场回报和通胀的预测，模拟了上千种可能的市场情境，得出一个结论：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">如果你想让退休金\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"text-decoration:underline;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">持续30年不枯竭\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（成功率90%），每年可以安全提取的金额，大约是退休时总资产的3.9%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">反过来算：如果你希望每年从投资组合里提取10万用于生活，那大约需要准备256万\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（10万÷3.9%）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">的本金。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">熟悉理财的朋友可能听\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\" textstyle=\"\">过4%法则\u003C\u002Fspan>。晨星的3.9%思路类似，只是它会根据当前市场估值动态调整\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（2024年是3.7%，2025年是3.9%）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，相对更谨慎一些。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">这里有两点要注意——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color:#de7802;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">第一，退休时间越长，提取率越低。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">看一下晨星的测算\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（最多测算40年）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F2a2973ce-0ff8-4a2f-9684-4e9b2bef97b9.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">如果你打算50岁退休，钱要撑40年，安全提取率就要降到3.3%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color:#de7802;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">第二，这个3.9%不包括社保养老金。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">报告里的投资组合是单独计算的。社保养老金的价值，后面我会单独聊，它可能比你想象的值钱得多。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">02\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">容易被忽视的：顺序风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">读这份报告，我学到一个之前不太了解的概念：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">顺序风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">简单说，退休后遇到牛市和熊市的顺序，可能比平均回报更重要。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">我用一个例子来说明——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">假设小七和老王同时退休，都有100万本金，每年提取3.9万生活费。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">接下来30年，他们的年化回报率完全相同\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（都是6.4%）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，只是顺序不同：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;border-left: 2px solid #bbbfc4;color:#646A73;margin-inline-start: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;font-size: 14px;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">小七：前25年每年赚10%，后5年每年亏10%\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;font-size: 14px;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">老王：前5年每年亏10%，后25年每年赚10%\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">30年后，同样的回报率，小七还剩376万，老王却只剩62万。差了整整314万。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F143b7b19-77e0-489a-868e-db24bbd44a69.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">为什么会这样？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">因为老王刚退休就遇上熊市，本金被\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"text-decoration:underline;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">双重消耗\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：市场跌掉一部分，又要提走生活费。到第5年只剩45万，雪球已经滚不大了，后面就算年年涨10%也追不回来。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">小七正好相反：之前的牛市，100万滚到300万、500万……等后来遇到熊市，家底厚，扛得住。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">晨星的数据也印证了这一点：在所有失败的模拟中\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（钱提前花光）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，有近70%是因为退休后头5年就遭遇了亏损。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">换句话说，退休后的前几年，是你财务上最脆弱的时候。你需要一个「减震器」来保护自己。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">这就引出了下一个话题：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">资产配置\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">03\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">不同阶段，配置不同\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">很多人问：那我应该怎么配置资产？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">关键\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">看你处于人生的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"text-decoration:underline;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">哪个阶段\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">晨星报告里有个发现：支持最高安全提取率的，是\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">股票30%-50%、债券50%-70%\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">的组合，比很多人想象的保守得多。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fd0f73d58-1f40-4ace-8153-26dc95a6fee3.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">原因就是上面说的顺序风险，退休后你需要持续提钱，如果刚好遇到股市大跌，杀伤力是双倍的。债券波动小，能帮你熬过最危险的头几年。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">但如果你还在积累阶段，逻辑就不一样了：你有工资收入，不需要从投资里提钱，反而应该趁年轻多配股票，让时间帮你承担波动、换取回报。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">我整理了一个简单的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">参考框架\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: center;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9fd775d6-21da-4ca8-98a5-add9ea304563.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">当然，这只是一个参考起点，你可以根据自己的风险偏好调整，能承受更大波动的，股票可以多配一些；偏保守的，债券比例高一点也没问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">具体买什么呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">晨星报告里用的是美国市场的产品\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color:#646a73;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">（美股指数+美债）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，国内可以这样对应：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">-股票部分\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：参考\u003Ca class=\"normal_text_link mp_article_text_link\" data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650673724&idx=2&sn=6ee939ea23f00a558a93f5e64012e8f1&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" linktype=\"text\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 82, 255);;color:#409eff\" target=\"_blank\" textvalue=\"\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 82, 255);\" textstyle=\"\">极简投资\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>的思路，国内+海外分散配置\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">-债券\u002F稳健部分\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：货币基金、银行理财、债券基金、储蓄险（注意领取时间要和退休时间衔接上）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">需要提醒的是，目前国内债券收益率比美国低不少（约2% vs 4%），所以同样的股债配置，预期回报会低一些，做规划时要留有余地。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">另外，如果你40岁左右，有一件事该认真做了：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:rgba(254, 212, 164, 0.8);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">算算你的退休缺口\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">举个例子：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">假设你退休前月薪1万，按40%的养老金替代率算，退休后社保大概能给你4000元\u002F月。生活费缺口就是每月6000元，一年7.2万。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">按3.9%的提取率倒推：7.2万 ÷ 3.9% ≈ \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">185万\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">这就是你在退休前，需要自己准备的投资组合规模。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">距离退休还有15-20年，时间还算充裕，但已经不能「佛系」了。这个阶段，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">定期定额、持续积累\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">，比什么都重要。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">04\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">社保，你可能低估的百万资产\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">最后，我想单独聊聊\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:rgba(254, 212, 164, 0.8);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">社保养老金的价值\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">很多人觉得社保没什么用、回报太低。但如果换一个角度算，你可能会改变看法。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">还是刚才的例子：假设你退休后每月能领4000元养老金，一年就是4.8万。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">按照3.9%的提款率倒推，这相当于一个多大的投资组合呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">4.8万 ÷ 3.9% ≈ 123万\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">也就是说，每月4000元的养老金，等价于你拥有一个123万的投资组合。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">而且，这个「隐形组合」有三个真正的投资组合做不到的优势：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;border-left: 2px solid #bbbfc4;color:#646A73;margin-inline-start: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;font-size: 14px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">终身保障\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：不管你活到80岁还是100岁，每月都会到账\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;font-size: 14px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">抗通胀\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：养老金会随社会平均工资调整，一定程度上跑赢通胀\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;font-size: 14px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">绝对稳定\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">：不受市场涨跌影响\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">所以我的建议是：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">把社保视为退休收入的「底座」，在此基础上规划你的投资组合。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">即使你追求\u003Ca class=\"normal_text_link mp_article_text_link\" data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650665645&idx=1&sn=5b3e8df378d94af07ae73c916bf20a05&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" linktype=\"text\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 82, 255);;color:#409eff\" target=\"_blank\" textvalue=\"FIRE\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 82, 255);\" textstyle=\"\">FIRE\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>（提前退休），也不要轻易断缴社保。它是你最稳的那根支柱。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">05\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin: 0px 16px;line-height: 2em;text-align: left;color: rgb(222, 120, 2);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">写在最后\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">读完这份报告，我最大的感受是：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color:rgba(254, 212, 164, 0.8);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">退休规划，是一场持续的平衡。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">不会有一个神奇的数字，告诉你存够这些就万事大吉，但靠谱的思考框架，能帮你做出更好的决策。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">今天聊的几个概念，安全提取率、顺序风险、分阶段配置、社保作为底座，不管市场怎么变，都值得记住。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">如果你正处于30-50岁的积累阶段，有几件事可以现在就做：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">1）算一算退休缺口：社保大概能覆盖多少？自己要补多少？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">2）检查社保缴纳情况：别断缴，这是性价比最高的「投资」之一\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">3）审视资产配置：股债比例和你的年龄、阶段匹配吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">4）如果还没开始定投，这个月就开始\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">我知道，退休对很多人来说还很遥远。但正因为遥远，现在开始才有意义。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan leaf=\"\">关于退休规划，你有什么想法或困惑？欢迎在留言区聊聊。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cspan leaf=\"\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>","","2026-04-15 19:50:00",100,0,"py自动生成","2026-04-15 19:52:32",141,false,18228,"1038002",5,[],[],[],[],[]]