[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2025060617375706481":3,"related-JP2025060617375706481":29},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"articleTitle":11,"coverImage":12,"listImage":13,"introduction":14,"description":15,"nonVipDescription":16,"postTime":17,"viewTime":17,"sortNumber":18,"isFree":19,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":19,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":19,"hasAdvertising":19,"createBy":20,"updateBy":20,"createTime":21,"visitCount":19,"isLiked":19,"realSearch":22,"isRead":19,"productId":23,"isCollected":19,"collectCount":19,"vipExclusive":19,"allowComment":7,"style":24,"likeCount":19,"seoKeywords":16,"articleModuleVoList":25,"extendContentList":26,"noteCount":19,"categoryList":27,"dailyKeywordList":28},10,7223,"1",1,"JP2025060617375706481","1041018",3,"2024年，该如何投资？| 3个方向","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3375725c-d389-414b-8026-187a459f2892.png","https:\u002F\u002Fjane7-prod.oss-cn-hangzhou.aliyuncs.com\u002Fmanager\u002Farticle_default_img.png","明年投资的3条主线","\u003Cdiv>\n \u003Csection style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">大家好~\u003C\u002Fspan>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">转眼2023年即将过去，回想年初时，很多朋友对今年报以很大的期望，觉得疫情管控放开后，今年将会是经济复苏的一年，可能会有一轮报复性消费出现。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">实际上，大家今年的消费还是相对谨慎，五一、十一假期出去旅游的人不少，但人均消费支出还没有回到疫情前的水平。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">投资方面好像也不太理想，今年A股几大宽基指数普遍下挫，表现较好的是\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650671218&idx=1&sn=a904d7db789e211be7d536e4dbb96778&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(0, 82, 255);;color:#409eff\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(0, 82, 255);\">微盘股指数\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">，年初至今的涨幅接近50%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而海外市场则红红火火，不光是传统的美股表现强势，日本股市和印度股市也在今年创下新高。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">反观A股市场，大盘又一次在3000点下方徘徊，估计很多人现在比较迷茫——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">A股明年能不能走好？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果股市持续低迷，我们还有哪些投资机会？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">今天就来聊聊这个话题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"font-size: var(--articleFontsize);text-indent: 0em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F4a39b3d9-ba11-42e9-a3c8-53deaca209dd.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">01\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">首先，我们看看美股市场今年的表现。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">2023年，美股整体走势大幅上扬，其中标普500指数上涨超过20%，纳斯达克100指数上涨超过50%：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3e5751ab-b008-4d3d-82e7-1df3a00a2ce4.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">图源：万得股票APP\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">经济面看，美国经济的韧性超出市场预期，从2023年第1季度到第3季度，GDP同比增速分别是1.7%、2.4%、2.9%，究其原因还是居民部门和政府部门的消费及投资，拉动了GDP：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fc4059c6b-b851-49b1-b065-7994e653e524.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">由于经济增长相对稳定，美国的通胀率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（CPI）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一直比较顽固地维持在3%以上，所以美联储今年没有停止加息，整体仍维持着高利率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（联邦基准利率从年初4.33%上升至5.33\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">%）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">虽然理论上讲，加息一般会压制股市的上涨空间，但现实中影响股市涨跌的因素很多，如果整体经济向好，大部分企业盈利增速高，也能抵消加息的不利因素，支撑股市上行。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">其次，再来看下A股市场。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">今年沪深300指数下跌超过13%，中证500指数下跌超过7%，特别是沪深300，在上周五创下了自2021年以来的调整新低。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">其实从年初以来，A股整体走势还是保持向上的，5月份，上证指数最高曾触碰到3400点上方，但之后股市就开始一蹶不振：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F88704e73-48b7-4165-8329-c7cd617dfc8f.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（图源：雪球）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">8月底，国家推出「印花税减半征收」等一系列利好政策，但只刺激了股市高开低走一天，此后股指慢慢向下滑落，在10月底最低跌到2923点。直到近期上证指数依然在3000点下方徘徊。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">为什么国内股市表现如此低迷？主要还是和经济复苏不及预期有关。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"font-size: var(--articleFontsize);text-indent: 0em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;text-align: center;color: rgb(214, 168, 65);letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fab9abd4c-51e3-4dea-bd8b-206d0c87f28c.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">02\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;text-indent: 0em;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">简单复盘一下今年国内的经济情况。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;text-indent: 0em;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">总的来说，疫后国内经济迎来了弱复苏，前三季度实际GDP同比增长5.2%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">乍一看似乎还不错，不过这样的成绩建立在去年低基数的基础上。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">如果以2021年为基数，两年平均增速只有4.1%；如果以2019年为基数，四年平均增速也只有4.7%，明显低于疫情前的水平，也低于疫情前海内外机构对中国经济的预测：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">实际经济表现 VS 长期增长趋势（预测）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fc412ba80-feec-4fd3-afda-d02101072727.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">来源\u002F\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\"> 中国宏观经济论坛CMF\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">今年一季度，社融、信贷也确实迎来了开门红，经济主体处于重启后的亢奋期，消费者积压的需求报复性释放，企业大幅增加生产和库存，表现在股市上也有一轮较大的升幅；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">二季度开始，经济主体积压的需求释放完毕，总需求大幅下滑，企业剧烈地去库存和降价，部分行业产能过剩，经济重新开始探底。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">三季度，国家推动一系列财政政策、货币政策、稳地产政策和化解地方债务风险政策协同发力，使得经济活动在低位企稳。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">一个比较直观反映今年经济形势的指标，就是CPI\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">（消费者物价指数）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">和PPI\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">（生产者物价指数）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">走势：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9be8cc0b-86b6-4fc0-95d4-d7423db2cbd5.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">来源\u002F \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">华福证券\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">我们看到今年CPI和PPI同时走低，近两个月都是负增长，PPI走低反映的是工业需求较弱和产能过剩的压力，大宗商品和工业品价格在下降；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">CPI走低则是消费需求疲弱和生猪的产能过剩，因为猪肉价格在CPI中的权重较高，今年的猪肉价格下跌也拉低了CPI。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">在经济面临压力的情况下，今年货币政策总体上是比较宽松的，央行顶着美联储的加息压力，安排了多轮降准降息：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F48590a9b-e0cf-4b40-be6a-aba4331d5155.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">来源\u002F \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">华福证券\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">降准降息本意是鼓励银行放贷给企业和个人，促进投资和消费，从而刺激经济增长。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">但如果人们对经济复苏预期不乐观，也不愿意借贷，导致资金沉淀在银行内部，未能流入实体经济，从而影响了经济复苏的进度。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">这说明人们的信心也很重要，如果企业和个人对未来的不确定性感到担忧，他们可能会选择保守行动，这就会抵消央行货币政策的力度。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">在12月召开的中央经济工作会议上，提到今年经济面临的困难和挑战，主要是\u003Cstrong>有效需求不足、部分行业产能过剩、社会预期偏弱\u003C\u002Fstrong>等等。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">国家很清楚目前存在的一些问题，也在着手应对和解决，我们要看到经济回升向好的大方向没有改变，还是要增强信心和底气。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"text-indent: 0em;font-size: var(--articleFontsize);text-align: center;letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F1201d16b-7989-4f20-9993-39914c22909e.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px;padding: 0px;display: block;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">03\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">最后聊聊2024年的投资机会。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">之前几次年末的盘点，主要是从行业角度进行分析，假设未来经济好转，哪些行业更有可能受益。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">但由于经济走势的不确定性，部分行业的实际表现也没有如预期那样发展。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">今年不妨再拓宽一下思路，分别从行业、风格和资产配置角度，聊聊值得布局的投资品种。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">先从行业说起，明年哪个行业会是重点发展方向？答案是\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>「科技创新」\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">根据前不久召开的中央经济工作会议，明年排在第一的工作重点，是\u003Cstrong>以科技创新引领现代化产业体系建设\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">科创重点产业包括\u003Cstrong>人工智能、生物制造、商业航天、低空经济\u003C\u002Fstrong>等若干战略性新兴产业。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">今年AI技术席卷全球，国外的英伟达、微软等科技巨头股价大涨，国内部分上市公司也蹭热度涨了一波。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">未来AI相关的芯片、算力和大模型需求是比较确定的，但对普通人来说，投资个股的难度和风险还是太大，不妨可以考虑一些相关的指数基金。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">比如说中证人工智能产业指数，今年上半年的涨幅很不错，下半年虽然跌回去了一些，年初以来整体还是涨了11.81%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">另外，最近也有新闻提到，「国家队」出手增持中证国新央企科技类指数：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fee696f14-2040-406c-bd51-96da5759b450.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">这类指数是由国新投资有限公司定制，比如中证国新央企科技引领指数，主要选取国务院国资委下属业务涉及航空航天与国防、计算机、电子、半导体、通信设备及技术服务等行业的50只上市公司作为成分股。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">国央企背景+科技创新方向，再加上有资金增持，明年的表现还是值得期待一下的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9ecfc21a-92cb-45b9-9968-e34a3c20eefe.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">其次是市场风格，也就是资金对不同类型股票的偏好。按照公司的业绩和估值，一般可以分为价值股、成长股两类。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote data-type=\"quote_container\" style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">价值股：公司处于成熟期，盈利增长较低，估值相对便宜。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-indent: 0em;font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">成长股：公司处于成长期，盈利增速较高，估值相对较高。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">历史上，成长风格和价值风格总是交替出现，比如在2021年之前，市场资金对于成长类公司比较偏好，那一阵子新能源和创新药等行业涨势挺猛；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">但是在2021年之后，成长风格熄火了，价值风格开始占优，高分红低估值的股票得到资金青睐。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">典型的价值风格代表就是红利基金，今年中证红利的涨幅是2.15%，中证红利低波指数的涨幅是6.81%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">至于明年是价值风格还是成长风格，还是取决于经济面，如果宏观经济向好，成长股的表现会好于价值股，反之则仍是有利于价值风格。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">从各家机构的年底展望来看，认为明年会是经济温和复苏，盈利增速回暖的占大多数，比较一致看好成长风格。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">但考虑到经济复苏的不确定性，不妨还是稍微配置部分红利基金，在各项经济指标没有明确改善的情况下，努力做好防守也许是个稳妥的选择。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fea4edc90-fa9f-4d56-9e42-46005560d3f3.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">另外我们知道，由于股市和债市存在「跷跷板」关系，通常股市下跌的时候，债市是上涨的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">我查了一下中证全债指数，今年以来上涨了4%左右，除了8-10月份出现阶段性回调，大部分时间都处于平稳上涨：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F14d1bf73-0a59-45df-960d-accc1a67fb11.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: center;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（中证全债指数走势，图源：雪球）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">普通人除了股票类资产，还是应该适当配置些债券类资产，比如说纯债基金。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">虽然说债券价格也会像股价一样上下波动，有些人买债基，一不小心也会出现浮亏。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">但长期看，我们赚的主要是债券的票面利息，短期砸出的「坑」会被时间所烫平，从资产配置的角度，长期持有一些纯债基金，在股市表现不佳的时候，也可以东方不亮西方亮，收获一份稳定的收益。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">最后也祝愿大家，2024年都能获得满意的投资回报。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);margin: 0px;padding: 0px;\">还不清楚如何理财的小伙伴，可以先来咱们免费的理财打卡营学习一下再操作哦~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: left;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;text-align: justify;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-wrap: wrap;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F0b4f70b8-027c-4bed-acca-3bd7eacfafee.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em;text-align: justify;margin: 0px 16px;text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-wrap: wrap;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);text-wrap: wrap;\">晚安~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>","","2023-12-21 21:44:00",100,0,"renqiang@jane7.com","2025-06-06 17:37:57",false,17285,"1038002",[],[],[],[],[30],{"pageSize":4,"articleWikiId":31,"wikiName":32,"articleCode":33,"locationType":34,"sortNumber":35,"articleTitle":36,"introduction":37,"coverImage":38,"likeCount":19,"realSearch":22,"createTime":39,"seoUrl":40,"seoKeywords":41},97,"理财产品","JP2020061821353578870",2,20200618,"1700亿抗疫特别国债来了，普通个人也能买，抢吗？","抗疫特别国债的投资细节，终于落地啦！赶紧和大家聊一聊~","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F5028228b-0362-4027-bf4a-fe851d048900.png","2020-06-18 21:35:35","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.jane7.com\u002Farticle-financing-JP2020061821353578870-97.html","债券投资,低风险投资,财经新闻"]