[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2025060616475573393":3,"related-JP2025060616475573393":29},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"articleTitle":11,"coverImage":12,"listImage":13,"introduction":14,"description":15,"nonVipDescription":16,"postTime":17,"viewTime":17,"sortNumber":18,"isFree":19,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":19,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":19,"hasAdvertising":19,"createBy":20,"updateBy":20,"createTime":21,"visitCount":19,"isLiked":19,"realSearch":22,"isRead":19,"productId":23,"isCollected":19,"collectCount":19,"vipExclusive":19,"allowComment":7,"style":24,"likeCount":19,"seoKeywords":16,"articleModuleVoList":25,"extendContentList":26,"noteCount":19,"categoryList":27,"dailyKeywordList":28},10,7038,"1",1,"JP2025060616475573393","1041018",3,"这日子什么时候是个头｜聊聊周期","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3375725c-d389-414b-8026-187a459f2892.png","https:\u002F\u002Fjane7-prod.oss-cn-hangzhou.aliyuncs.com\u002Fmanager\u002Farticle_default_img.png","未来不可预知，但也有迹可循","\u003Cdiv>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;\">点击 “\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;color: rgb(0, 128, 255);\">简七读财\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;\">”，发送消息“小工具”\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;line-height: 1.5em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;\">免费领取“\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;background-color: rgb(255, 254, 213);color: rgb(255, 76, 0);\">30个赚钱工具资源包\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;\">”\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F50c0c46c-f9db-4dde-ac04-067362b18bc2.jpg\">\n  \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: justify;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cmpvoice class=\"js_editor_audio audio_iframe js_uneditable custom_select_card\" data-pluginname=\"insertaudio\" data-topic_id=\"\" data-topic_name=\"\" data-trans_state=\"1\" data-verify_state=\"3\" high_size=\"1476.61\" isaac2=\"1\" low_size=\"1022.01\" name=\"这日子什么时候是个头｜聊聊周期\" play_length=\"503000\" source_size=\"1022\" src=\"\u002Fcgi-bin\u002Freadtemplate?t=tmpl\u002Faudio_tmpl&name=%E8%BF%99%E6%97%A5%E5%AD%90%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88%E6%97%B6%E5%80%99%E6%98%AF%E4%B8%AA%E5%A4%B4%EF%BD%9C%E8%81%8A%E8%81%8A%E5%91%A8%E6%9C%9F&play_length=08:23\" voice_encode_fileid=\"MjM5MzA3MjI2NV8yNjUwNjYyNjMw\">\u003C\u002Fmpvoice>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">大家\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">好，我是简七编辑部的木言声。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">最近，大家思考最多的问题，大约是：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">疫情什么时候结束？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">股市什么时候才能反弹？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们的生活，什么时候\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">才能好起来？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">虽然无法精准预测，但是我们可以把视角拉得更广，寻找一些规律。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">今天想来和你聊聊「周期」的话题。希望能让我们焦虑的心定一定，也能为之后的决策做一些参考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n   \u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">经济活动也有周期吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\n   \u003Cbr>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我们现在在什么位置？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对于投资、生活的启示？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;font-size: 14px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（可以跳转04）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;visibility: visible;line-height: 1.6em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ffa0c4a7e-84c0-484c-a9b6-005885a7acfc.jpg\">\u003Cstrong style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">01\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">经济活动也有周期吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们知道，到了夏天天气会热，要穿短袖；到了冬天很冷，要备好冬衣。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">就像一年有四季轮回一样，有没有可能从过往的经济震动里找到周期规律呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">上周，统计局出了一季度GDP在内的经济数据，市场上的声音褒贬不一。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">相关阅读 👉：\u003Ca data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650662391&idx=1&sn=066f9338074b43547a9c53c3def7883a&chksm=be95d01189e2590796d8c40d5b57fb097ddf452899336dd80b9ab9ee97ce56799422116904d8&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" imgdata=\"null\" imgurl=\"\" linktype=\"text\" tab=\"innerlink\" target=\"_blank\" textvalue=\"一季度4.8%，超预期了\" style=\"color:#409eff\">一季度4.8%，超预期了\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但如果不再仅仅关注这一个点，拉长时间，你会发现一个很有意思的现象：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">几乎每10年，GDP增速会经历一次「上涨-下跌-重新开始新一轮上涨」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fdb0c1ca9-f625-4ce3-bc18-b7948870d4a5.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">理论上来说，一国所有企业的产出之和就是一个国家的GDP。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">值得注意的是，企业盈利波动幅度，却是和GDP波动幅度不同，是后者的两三倍，甚至更大。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">再来说说大家比较关心的房价。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">从商品房销售额的角度来看，我们可以观测到几乎每3年一轮的房价销售周期。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F145677e6-a121-4310-81dc-eb6443c650b6.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align: justify;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如在2007-2008年的房价低谷，紧跟着是4万亿的救市政策，带来了2009年的暴涨；涨太高了，又会出政策压一压。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">另外，还有7年左右一轮牛熊的市场周期——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F2b7c7a6c-087a-472f-82b3-be994659282d.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这样看来，经济运行的确是有它的周期规律的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">假设我们能够把握周期规律，或许就能在一个模糊但是相对确定的底部区域买入；在一个模糊但相对确定的顶部卖出了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">那么，我们正经历的疫情、战争、失业、股价低迷......会不会也是周期的一个必经环节呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 1.6em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F0c1d9f6f-85c3-4b14-bda8-a4f04c95e5bc.jpg\">\u003Cstrong style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">02\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">现在正经历的曾经更糟\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如今，很多企业和个人，都在面临「收入大缩水、支出却不少」的难题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这周开门一场「\u003Ca data-itemshowtype=\"0\" data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650662536&idx=1&sn=7ec586077357075169a09e59425cc6da&chksm=be95d36e89e25a78d1427d87e9292a5628272c5c226634a29703068d6be429c69a6f59cd7c22&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" imgdata=\"null\" imgurl=\"\" linktype=\"text\" tab=\"innerlink\" target=\"_blank\" textvalue=\"3000点守卫战\" style=\"color:#409eff\">3000点守卫战\u003C\u002Fa>」，也是股市低迷的一场爆发。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">正如《圣经》里有句话所说，「已有的事，后必再有。已行的事，后必再行。太阳底下无新鲜事。」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不少分析师认为，新冠肺炎疫情让全球经济陷入了严重的衰退，堪比1929年开始的经济大萧条。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">那时候又是什么光景呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n   \u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">原本衣食无忧的家庭，需要出租空房间才能谋生；\u003C\u002Fspan>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">住在大房子的人，一夜之间只能卖鸡蛋谋生；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">西装革履工作的人，一下子失了业，排队领免费牛奶和面包；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">......\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Csection style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\n  \u003Cbr>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fd32b50ff-ebc7-4fe7-92bc-642d017f807a.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">图片来源：截自《美国女孩的秘密》\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">谁能想到，在大萧条之前，美国才刚经历了一场空前的繁荣\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（「柯立芝繁荣」，1923-1929年）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">美国从一战中大量敛财，黄金储备占了全世界的一半；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这个时期资本家们纷纷致力于让工业生产更高效，点燃了技术革命。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如著名的「福特流水线作业」就是这时候出现的，让生产成本降低了2\u002F3。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F6ff9b14c-2f58-43ea-8915-f5bedb451bb1.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">图片来源：网络\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">人们的求富心态迅速膨胀，房地产价格远远偏离了长期价值。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">后来，佛罗里达州经历了两场数百人死亡的热带风暴后，房地产繁荣破灭。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但是「一夜暴富」的信念，让人们把钱持续转移到股市中，股价也在投机情绪中节节高升。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这种迅速增长自然不可持续，股市开始呈现疲态。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">1929年10月28日，以股价一日暴跌为起点，紧接着美国的银行倒闭、工厂关停，经济泡沫瞬间破裂。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">之后4年，美国的经济总产值下降到了1929年的约1\u002F3，经济总产值到1941年依然没有回到1929年的水平。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">当时也有无数人怀疑过，会不会一直这样下去。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但是十年之后，罗斯福新政和二战，让美国逐渐走出了大萧条的阴影。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这场经济震动，也给了西方经济学家凯恩斯灵感，提出了「经济周期」的概念。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">总体经济的运转，也会不断经历着起伏波动。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">1936年，熊彼特对各种周期进行分析后得出一个结论：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这些周期并不完全是独立存在的，互相之间有着「叠加合成」的现象。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fa0fd9352-e784-4d12-82d8-8f5746f7369c.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">根据机构的分析——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我国经济目前正位于上一轮朱格拉周期结束，即将开启新一轮周期的阶段；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">对于长周期而言，正站在大周期末期，「继向上」的下一轮周期即将开启。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">具体到2022年，投资时钟很可能是\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">上半年衰退、下半年弱复苏。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 1.6em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fc302c4ce-2741-422e-8664-516ee6297240.jpg\">\u003Cstrong style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">03\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">周期会受突发事件影响吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不过，从上面的各类波动曲线中我们也看到，周期每阶段的时间长度并不是严格不变的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">突发事件往往也会成为干扰经济周期运行的因素。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">历史上的突发事件，大致可以归为三类：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">第一种：社会因素\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n   \u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如战争、恐怖袭击、政变等\u003C\u002Fspan>\n   \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Csection style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cbr>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">就拿美国2001年的「9·11事件」为例。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">基地组织劫持飞机撞击世贸中心两栋大楼，造成3000多人死亡。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">9·11事件可以看成基地组织对整个西方世界的宣战，大大摧毁了人们消费和投资信心。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">当周，纳斯达克指数下跌超过16%，伦敦股市下跌6.2%、法兰克福股市下跌12.3%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">第二种：自然因素\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n   \u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如大洪水、地震、飓风等\u003C\u002Fspan>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Csection style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 2em;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Cbr>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">虽然自然灾害基本上是局部发生的，但是对于整个国家来说，遇到大灾难要追加财政预算。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不过有的自然灾害虽然不能精准预测时间，但还是有一定规律。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如飓风一般出现在9月，洪水一般在8月。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">第三种：传染病\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n  \u003Csection style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;line-height: 2em;visibility: visible;margin-bottom: 0em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n   \u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如黑死病、禽流感、新冠病毒等\u003C\u002Fspan>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">追溯历史，1918年的西班牙大流感可谓是历史上最恐怖的流感之一。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">在西班牙流感中死亡的人数，是一战的4-5倍，可以说「活着就是最大的赢家。」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">和前两种不同的是，很多疾病会让不同板块两极分化。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如酒店、交通、零售、旅游往往不景气，但是医疗服务、殡葬业、网上购物等早期会比较兴隆。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">另外，除了商业周期之外，还有选举、政府换届等政治周期。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">所以，即便有突发事件干扰了周期，大概率改变的是周期波动的幅度大小，而不是周期运行的方向和趋势。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">也正因此，我们也不能仅仅仰仗周期这一个维度来进行投资和生活的决策判断，预测周期也有「失灵」的时候。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们只能追求一个模糊的正确：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">回看过往的周期波动，总体而言是趋势向上的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F7471ee52-09d9-4007-8c19-63406fa3df0a.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;line-height: 1.6em;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;line-height: 1.75em;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ff3af8db0-d53b-4bf6-9665-a52bfa8b6e68.jpg\">\u003Cstrong style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-size: 18px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">04\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;text-align: center;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我们该怎么做？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一是关于我们正在经历的疫情。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">近代以来，单看疫情对金融市场的影响，往往是短暂而急剧的冲击。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而这一次的所谓的「衰退」，更是各个周期综合影响带来的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">就像是2008年下半年的经济危机，正是长中短三种经济周期同时向下导致的，而2009年是存货周期的反弹时期。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">虽然我们无法预测疫情何时结束，但在同一时期，政府也在接连出台各项政策和措施调控。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">在这个时候，要做好这2个准备：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">第一，保持充足冗余。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">手上留足4-6个月用的应急资金，家里备好粮食药物，\u003Cstrong>必须按照可能发生的最坏情况进行预防。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">相关阅读👉：\u003Ca data-itemshowtype=\"11\" data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650662536&idx=2&sn=8e29852be58e5cf6283c65e60768b762&chksm=be95d36e89e25a784d96a76111e16181e9a549453ed6c5e6f38beecf41b95d7d1ce2aebb6a3f&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" imgdata=\"null\" imgurl=\"\" linktype=\"text\" tab=\"innerlink\" target=\"_blank\" textvalue=\"这份囤货指南，值得收藏\" style=\"color:#409eff\">这份囤货指南，值得收藏\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">第二，保持好奇心。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一个没有好奇心、无法持续不断学习的人，是无法把握住机遇这件事的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">在周期的相对底部，背后往往会出现大暴跌，也是好的投资良机。如果之前做过充足的研究和学习，也可以在相对底部配置一些宽基，捡一些便宜的筹码。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">二是大家比较关心的股市。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一般来说，股市确实和经济周期是正相关的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但是具体到个股层面，情况又会各有不同。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一方面我们要有敏锐的触角，另一方面必须要建立自己的认知体系。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">后者，就像是内功心法，帮助我们用相对不变的逻辑、规律，去驾驭千变万化的信息。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">经济周期一直存在，如果你看到这张图，选择可能就不会这么难。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ffbb79e14-12cd-48ae-a272-45c32ad4e145.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 14px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);\">数据来源：世界银行\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">当我们陷入一日日微观的涨跌中，我们是否还能记得这条大波浪呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">好啦，关于周期就和你分享到这里。最后也为你总结了一张图，欢迎转发、收藏。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection style=\"text-align: center;margin-bottom: 0em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\n  \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3122c56d-81d8-4216-99aa-49dfbdee5927.jpg\">\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不知道大家对各种周期是否感兴趣，可以在评论区留言告诉我们，或许可以单独再出一篇和大家仔细聊聊～\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果喜欢这篇文章的话，也欢迎点个\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">「在看」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">告诉我。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">晚安😊\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>","","2022-04-28 21:30:00",100,0,"renqiang@jane7.com","2025-06-06 16:47:55",false,17100,"1038002",[],[],[],[],[]]