[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2024060319165954972":3,"related-JP2024060319165954972":32},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"fileInputUrl":11,"articleTitle":12,"coverImage":13,"listImage":14,"introduction":15,"description":16,"nonVipDescription":11,"postTime":17,"viewTime":17,"sortNumber":18,"isFree":19,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":19,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":19,"miniUrl":11,"miniScheme":11,"miniImage":11,"itemTag":11,"createBy":20,"updateBy":21,"createTime":22,"visitCount":23,"isLiked":19,"realSearch":24,"isRead":19,"productId":25,"isCollected":19,"collectCount":26,"vipExclusive":19,"allowComment":7,"style":27,"likeCount":10,"duration":19,"playStyle":7,"seoKeywords":11,"articleModuleVoList":28,"extendContentList":29,"noteCount":19,"categoryList":30,"dailyKeywordList":31},10,6300,"1",1,"JP2024060319165954972","1041018",3,"","以后不确定的事情就不要想了","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3375725c-d389-414b-8026-187a459f2892.png","https:\u002F\u002Fjane7-prod.oss-cn-hangzhou.aliyuncs.com\u002Fmanager\u002Farticle_default_img.png","做理智的乐观主义者","\u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 16px; text-wrap: wrap; outline: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-align: left; line-height: 1.5em; visibility: visible;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">晚上好，我是简七编辑部的乔西~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">今天打算和大家分享一本书，摩根·豪泽尔的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>《一如既往》\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">之前我们给大家推荐的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmp.weixin.qq.com\u002Fs?__biz=MjM5MzA3MjI2NQ==&mid=2650669470&idx=1&sn=928577267dd021373057e84e073118c1&scene=21#wechat_redirect\" style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(0, 82, 255);;color:#409eff\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(0, 82, 255);\">《致富心态》\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(136, 136, 136);font-size: 14px;\">（大陆版叫《金钱心理学》）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">也是这位作者的，当时读完感觉很有收获，所以这次一出新书就迫不及待地先读了英文版。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">最近中文版也终于面世了，就来和你分享一下。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">和《致富心态》不同，这本书并没有专门讲很多理财的内容，它更像一本关于人生态度的书。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">作者认为，我们要\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">专注在不变的事情上\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们总是关注世界的变化，去追求最新的趋势，学习新东西，害怕自己落后、跟不上时代。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们在追求变化时，往往会忘记一些本质的、不变的东西，比如人性，经济周期等，历史总会重演。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果你一直在向前跑，但又经常觉得不安，或许可以在这本书中找找答案。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">书中一共写了20多个小故事，很好读，我觉得每个人都能从中找到打动自己的点。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而我今天打算分享的是\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F145095a6-2af6-4fcb-ade2-8712612b8991.jpg\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Csection>\n \u003Cstrong style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);text-align: center;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: var(--articleFontsize);letter-spacing: 0.034em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;\">01 为什么关注「不变」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">在聊风险之前，我们先了解一下为什么作者认为\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">不变\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">更重要。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">在书的前言部分，作者引用了一个巴菲特的小故事——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">2009年，巴菲特和一位朋友共进午餐，我们暂且称他为吉姆。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">吉姆问了巴菲特一个问题：「现在情况太糟了，经济要怎么从这种困境中恢复过来呢？」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">巴菲特并没有回答他，而是又问了一个问题：「吉姆，你知道1962年最畅销的巧克力棒是什么吗？」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">「不知道。」吉姆说。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">「士力架。」巴菲特说。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">然后巴菲特再次问道：「你知道今天最畅销的巧克力棒是什么吗？」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">「士力架。」巴菲特说。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这说明什么呢?\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">历史总是充满无人预料的惊奇，但也充满了许多永恒的智慧。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果有一台时光机，把我们送到500年后的世界。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们可能会对，先进的科技，医疗、陌生的语言感到震惊，甚至恐慌，因为这一切对我们来说都是未知的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但如果我们把目光放在未来的人身上，你会发现，人们还是会贪婪、恐惧、会过度自信，会面对地震、海啸等自然灾害。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">然后你会说：「啊，我见过这个，一如既往」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">所以，我们之所以要关注不变的事物，是因为\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>已知会让我们对未来充满信心\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果我们总是关注那些变化，就会很容易忽视那些不变的、本质的东西，为了变而变，忙得团团转，最终只会把自己搞得疲惫不堪。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如今年ChatGPT很火，就有很多朋友担心自己是不是要被取代了，是不是会失业。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但其实每个时代都有很多职业消失，也有很多新职业产生，这个规律是不会变的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们不要只看到变化带来的负面影响，还要看到藏在变化背后不变的规律。要低头努力，也要抬头看路。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这些永不改变的规律才是历史给我们最宝贵的财富，面对未来，才不会是一片迷雾，而是有迹可循。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fdb316a44-b225-48cc-98c8-9fe622df1833.jpg\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;margin-bottom: 8px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;\">02 风险永远存在\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">回归今天的主题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">，这是作者提到的第一个不变的东西。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">风险是什么？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">卡尔·查里兹曾说：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>「扣除你认为自己已经考虑过的一切事物之后，剩下的就是风险」\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">我们经常对未来进行预测，比如预测明年的经济增长，预测未来AI是一大趋势，但我们并不擅长预测意外，想不到会2019年会发生疫情、2022年会爆发俄乌冲突。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>没有人预料到的事永远是最大的风险\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">，因为没人预料到，所以没有人为此做准备，没有准备，等它出现时，损害会很大。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而且，我们越是觉得自己准备地周全万分，等意外发生时就越是惊讶。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">我们在做人生的任何决策时，总是忽视风险的存在\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">作者在书中讲了一个自己小时候经历的的惊险故事——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">作者在和小伙伴们去滑雪的时候，看到了一块「禁止入内」的牌子，但小孩子的逆反心让促使着他们进去了，还遭遇了一场小型雪崩，幸好没出事。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">回来后，他的小伙伴们还想去禁区滑雪，但作者因为第一次雪崩的后怕，拒绝了，结果他的小伙伴们就遭遇了意外。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">忽视风险很容易止步不前或是冒进，一旦发生可能已无法挽回。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如牛市的时候，面对猛猛上涨的股市，很多朋友总会觉得股市还会继续涨，不愿意落袋为安，结果往往是被套牢。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">所以巴菲特曾说：\u003Cstrong>「第一条规则，不要赔钱；第二条规则，别忘了第一条规则；第三条规则，不要欠债」\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fe9dc1b2d-f3fa-48a5-b4a6-9940d355ff9c.jpg\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;margin-bottom: 8px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;\">03 为什么会忽视风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">为什么我们会忽视风险呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">作者认为，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">人们不想要精准，人们要的是确定\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。所以我们热衷于对未来做各种各样的\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">预测。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">虽然我们生活在一个充满不确定与几率的世界，但却想要确定性，想听到是对或错、是好或坏，但往往很难得到。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">回想一下你去医院看医生，是不是医生给你的永远是一个概率，而不是一个确定性的有问题，或者没问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不确定性会让人痛苦。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如你身体了长了肿瘤，医生说80%的可能性是良性的，但你仍然会为那20%的可能性提心吊胆。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而确定性会让人放松警惕。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">如果医生告诉你这个病不是什么大事，即使有风险，你也会抛之脑后。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">除此之外，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">我们也很容易低估罕见事件发生的机率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但莫斯特勒说：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>「只要样本够大，什么光怪陆离的事都有可能发生。」\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这个世界上有八十亿人，即使某件事件在每一天中发生的概率是百万分之一，那么每一天也应该会发生在八千人身上。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">无论是奇迹还是灾难。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如那些被我们冠名为「百年难得一遇」的事件，洪水、飓风、地震、金融危机等等，并不是说这些一百年发生一次，而是任何一年发生的可能性大约是1%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这个数字看起来很低，但如果百年一遇的事件多达数百种，且都是独立事件，那么一年中发生某一起事件的概率，其实相当高。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-left: 16px;text-wrap: wrap;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fbd6fe9b5-c28b-4ae9-9a74-96dddea7b011.jpg\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Csection>\n \u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;\">04 如何应对风险\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">那我们该如何应对风险呢？作者提到了两点——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65);font-size: 16px;\">一是投资准备，而不是投资预测。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">首先我们要区分\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169);\">\u003Cstrong>预期和预测\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">这两个概念。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如你看好AI，觉得它一定会涨，会在什么时候涨到什么价位，这就是一种预测。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">而预期是，你觉得AI是未来的一个发展趋势，想要投资，你可以通过构建组合降低风险，然后把时间拉长，比如10年，你的投资一定会有所回报。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">也就是说，\u003Cstrong>我们要对未来有预期，早做准备，但不要预测未来\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">很多风险的发生我们都无法预料，比如经济萧条、大地震，我们不知道它具体什么时候会来，但用历史的眼光来看，我们知道未来它一定会发生。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">因为经济周期，繁荣之后必有萧条；因为地壳运动，板块碰撞会发生地震，这些规律都是不变的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如我们知道自己一定会变老，但是疾病缠身还是拥有多姿多彩的老年生活，我们无法预测。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">但我们可以现在开始准备，健康饮食、规律作息，定期体检，可以让我们更从容的应对变老这件事。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">二是，如果你只为可预见的风险做准备，那么凡是你没看到的风险，你都毫无准备。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">换句话说，就是多做一些准备。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">比如，当你储蓄的时候，储蓄金额要感觉有一点太多的时候才是适当的水平，最好高到，别人一听会下意识说「会不会太多」的程度。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">反过来，当年贷款的时候，债务金额要比你认为的少一点。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">一言以蔽之，这本书想要告诉我们的就是：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);color: rgb(214, 168, 65);\">多读历史，少做预测\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">不管是人生还是世界演变，很多事情其实都曾在历史长河中发生过。意识到那些不变的东西，人生脉络也会更清晰。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">并且，保持风险意识，做一个理智的乐观主义者。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">好啦，关于这本书就暂时聊到这里了，感兴趣的话可以买来看看哦~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px;outline: 0px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"outline: 0px;color: rgb(34, 34, 34);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">晚安🌹\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Csection>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cbr> \n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003Csection>\n \u003Cbr>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003Cp style=\"display: none;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>","2024-06-04 06:25:00",100,0,"liufei@jane7.com","liuweixin@jane7.com","2024-06-03 19:16:59",24,false,16287,4,"1038002",[],[],[],[],[]]