[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2024040212420341816":3,"related-JP2024040212420341816":33},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"fileInputUrl":11,"articleTitle":12,"coverImage":13,"listImage":14,"introduction":15,"description":16,"nonVipDescription":17,"postTime":18,"viewTime":19,"sortNumber":20,"isFree":21,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":21,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":21,"miniUrl":11,"miniScheme":11,"miniImage":11,"itemTag":11,"createBy":22,"updateBy":22,"createTime":23,"visitCount":24,"isLiked":21,"realSearch":25,"isRead":21,"productId":26,"isCollected":21,"collectCount":27,"vipExclusive":21,"allowComment":7,"style":28,"likeCount":10,"filePath":11,"duration":21,"playStyle":7,"seoKeywords":11,"articleModuleVoList":29,"extendContentList":30,"noteCount":21,"categoryList":31,"dailyKeywordList":32},10,6175,"1",1,"JP2024040212420341816","1041018",3,"","如何变得善于做决定？","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3375725c-d389-414b-8026-187a459f2892.png","https:\u002F\u002Fjane7-prod.oss-cn-hangzhou.aliyuncs.com\u002Fmanager\u002Farticle_default_img.png","「快思慢想」","\u003Csection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">晚上好~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">先来问个问题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">赚钱的股票，和亏钱的股票，你会卖哪只呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">理性告诉我们，投资是对未来下注，该考虑股票未来能不能赚钱，和当下的盈亏无关。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">但实际上，多数人会选择止盈，落袋为安，继续持有跌跌不休的股票。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">尽管经济学假设每个人是「理性人」，但在生活中作出具体决策时，我们难免被冲动、情感裹挟。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">今天和你分享一本书——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">《思考，快与慢》\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">，作者丹尼尔·卡尼曼是2002年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者，也是历史上第一位获得诺贝尔经济学奖的心理学家。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">他对传统经济学观念提出了挑战，认为很多情况下人并不是理性的，会做出各种误判。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F0cdd6658-0bf3-4e1d-9a32-8fef5f9c1896.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">遗憾的是，这位行为经济学的开山鼻祖，在本周离世。但他留下的精神遗产，仍然有许多值得学习之处。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">今天就来聊聊我们该如何减少偏见，做更好的决定。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F2eb84fee-e04c-426c-99b3-a13f1480dd27.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); text-align: center; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">01 系统1 VS 系统2\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">卡尼曼教授把人类的思考模式，分成2个系统——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">「系统1」是我们对外界的本能反应。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F09f966a7-48f1-42b6-823a-df4bd53490f3.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">图源：AI生成\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如看到这张猫猫图片，它哭得很伤心，似乎在为什么事情难过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这些判断对你来说是自动完成的，毫不费力，这就是系统1在发挥作用，这是你的快思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">大部分情况下，这对我们是有用的，举个例子，周围出现的烧焦的味道，你的第一反应是害怕、逃跑，这就是系统1起到的保护作用。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">但系统1也会「副作用」。当别人出言质疑你，系统1的保护机制即刻生效，你会马上为自己的立场辩解，但别人说的可能是对的，令你错失改正错误的机会。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">「系统2」是逻辑思维，需要我们有意识地进行思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">当你面对一道\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">乘法计算题，比如64乘以33\u003C\u002Fstrong>，你需要集中注意力运算得到结果，这是系统2在发挥作用，也就是慢思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">对于别人的建议，系统2启动时，也会强压系统1的不愉快，冷静分析利弊，采取是否接受、改进。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">正常状态下，系统2只是按照系统1的建议来做判断。但当系统1遇到麻烦，系统2的理性就会出面解决。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">例如你每天开车回家，选择哪条路线都基于系统1的快思考，通过直觉就可以迅速完成判断；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而当你到了一个陌生的城市，你往往会慢下来，让系统2的慢思考介入，辨认方向，做出判断。一段安全的旅程，是系统1和系统2的完美合作。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9a80149e-7852-4e92-a8ee-6e6a3ec4294b.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">02 偏见的起点\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我们平时或许以为自己总是理性的。但卡尼曼通过各种心理学实验证明了一件事：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">实际上系统1的直觉式快思考，才是你平时决策和行为的真正主宰。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">为什么呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">因为\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">系统2需要集中注意力，但人类大脑又是懒惰的，不愿意多付出注意力\u003C\u002Fstrong>。在这种惰性之下，系统2往往会对系统1的直观判断无条件接受。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">书里举了一个实验——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">犯人的保释申请成功率，跟审核官吃没吃饭有很大关系。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">要是在用餐后审核，通过率就高达65%，几乎是平均水平的两倍。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">通过率最低的时候，就是是饭前的时段。那会儿他们又饿又累，无法集中精力，保释申请就很难通过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">再看另一个例子，请你用直觉来做下面这2道题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px;  max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;  text-align: justify;      text-decoration-thickness: initial; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">5台机器能在5分钟生产5个小零件，100台机器生产100个小零件需要多长时间？100分钟还是5分钟？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px;  max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;  text-align: justify;      text-decoration-thickness: initial; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">睡莲叶子以每天增长1倍的速度向外扩散。如果48天后莲叶就能覆盖整片湖面，那么覆盖湖面一半的面积需要多长时间？24天还是47天？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">研究结果显示，当问卷上的\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">字体清晰\u003C\u002Fstrong>时，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">90%\u003C\u002Fstrong>的普林斯顿学生至少会犯一个错误；但当字体\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">看不清\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">时，他们的错误率却降到了\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">35%\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">是的，你没有看错：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">字体模糊不清时，学生的表现更好。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这是因为，无论认知紧张或是其他原因，它都更有可能\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">激发系统2\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">来抑制系统1所给出的直觉性答案。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fcad6d465-610f-41c1-bd38-2139e00c8866.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">03 常见误区\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">也就是说，如果系统2因为惰性，不能及时启动介入，让系统1主宰思考，我们就容易做出不理性的决策。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">书里对常见误区做了大量举例，咱们挑几个说说——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">1. 处置效应\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这是开头说的「卖出盈利股、保留亏损股」的偏好。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我们在投资时，给每一只股票都开设了账户，并想在关闭每一个账户时都能获利。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果关闭账户\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（亏损卖出）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">，相当于承认自己的失败，情感上很难接受。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">反之，在赢利的情况下关闭心理账户，会令人心情愉悦，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但这种愉悦很可能是你花钱买来的\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px;  max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;  text-align: justify;      text-decoration-thickness: initial; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">研究学者(Odean，1998)研究发现，投资者浮盈卖出的股票在未来一年平均跑赢市场2.35% ，而浮亏持有的股票平均跑输市场1.06%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">对一个理性的决策者来说，他只会对投资的未来感兴趣，不会考虑纠正先前的错误。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">2. 前景理论\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">现在有两个问题，你会怎么选呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">问题1：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A：肯定会得到900美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">B：90%的可能性会得到1000美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">问题2：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">C：必定会损失900美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">D：有90%的可能性损失1000美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">相信大多数人会选择A和D：我们在面临获利时，不愿冒风险；而在面临损失时，人人都成了冒险家。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">因为人们对损失和获得的敏感程度是不同的，在许多情境中，损失的痛苦是获得快乐的两倍。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">3. 技能错觉\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这指的是某个领域的专家，经常会高估自己的能力。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">书中提到，股票、经济、政治专家对未来做出的预测，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">并没有比了解少的人强很多\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">学到更多知识的人，往往对自己的技能产生一种无限放大的错觉。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这一点让我们了解到预测中产生错误是不可避免的，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">因为世界本就不可预测\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">4. 大数法则与小数定律\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">系统1非常擅长识别事物之间的因果联系，即使有时这种关系根本就不存在，它也会这样认定。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如书中举例，肾癌发病率最低的县位于人口稀少的乡村，人们会说「因为乡村生活方式健康，空气清新，食品安全」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">但肾癌发病率最高的县，同样来自这些乡村，人们又会说「因为乡村医疗条件差、饮食方式不健康。」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">然而结果的反差，仅仅因为人数太少。相比于大样本，极端的结果\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（高发病率和低发病率）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">更容易出现在小样本中。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 2px; outline: 0px; cursor: pointer; background: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A") 0px 100% \u002F auto 2px repeat-x transparent; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">许多事实可能只是巧合，对偶然事件作出因果关系的解释必然是错误的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F97d77af4-6421-40e3-af58-9bf57882dc31.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">04 如何改进我们的思维？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">纵观上述误区，可以发现，有很多让我们认知放松的情形，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">致使系统1过度自信，没有调用系统2，擅自主张做了决定\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">生活和投资中，我们很容易因为一件事情顺利、感觉良好，就认为自己做对了，其实未必是最佳选择\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（处置效应、前景理论）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">社会层面上，专家们过度自信，侃侃而言，实际正确率并没有很高\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（技能错觉）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">。而人们会为随机性的事件给出自己的解释，忽略了大部分事件最终会回归平均值。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（大数法则与小数定律）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">那我们怎样才能叫醒系统2呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">书中提到了3个小建议——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">1.了解认知错觉的存在\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">大部分人并不知道我们脑袋里不止一种声音，仅仅是跨出这一步，已经是很大的不同了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">当你意识到系统1可能又要犯错，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">就可以放慢节奏，要求系统2出手接管\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如你明白股票未来的涨跌，和成本、当下的盈亏无关，就可以把重心放在分析公司财报、行业前景上。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果觉得低估，耐心持有就行；如果确实高估了，那该卖还得卖。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">就像段永平说的：\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「改正错误要尽快，多大的代价都是最小的代价」\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family:arial, helvetica,sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">2.事前验尸\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">简单来说，就是未雨绸缪，防患于未然。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我们可以先假设这件事情失败了，再写下导致这件事失败的可能原因。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;  line-height: 2em;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这么做的好处，是看到没有考虑，但可能存在的威胁，做事更周全。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">3.饮水机闲谈\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">做决策之前，不妨到比较轻松的环境，比如办公室的饮水机旁，听听大家的闲谈和批评。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">面对这些批评虽然不容易，但比起自己鼓起勇气自我批评，还是容易得多。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"cursor: pointer; background: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A") 0px 100% \u002F auto 2px repeat-x transparent; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">对咱们来说，像是买房、买车这样的大额支出，或是遇到跳槽、结婚这样的人生大事，在拍板敲定前，不妨多找身边人商量商量，避免过度乐观。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">好啦，以上就是与你分享的内容。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这本书带给我的最大启发是，我们以为自己做的每一个决策都出于理性计算，符合个人利益最大化。但卡尼曼教授告诉我们，决策过程很可能充斥着偏见和谬误，甚至是自欺欺人。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果我们更愿意在生活中叫醒系统2，让自己必要时累一点，那我们就可以在这个不可预测的世界中，保留多一份理性~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">晚安🌹\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F21c54be4-bb89-4a29-a165-df5307b33786.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>","\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">晚上好~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">先来问个问题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">赚钱的股票，和亏钱的股票，你会卖哪只呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">理性告诉我们，投资是对未来下注，该考虑股票未来能不能赚钱，和当下的盈亏无关。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但实际上，多数人会选择止盈，落袋为安，继续持有跌跌不休的股票。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">尽管经济学假设每个人是「理性人」，但在生活中作出具体决策时，我们难免被冲动、情感裹挟。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">今天和你分享一本书——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">《思考，快与慢》\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">，作者丹尼尔·卡尼曼是2002年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者，也是历史上第一位获得诺贝尔经济学奖的心理学家。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">他对传统经济学观念提出了挑战，认为很多情况下人并不是理性的，会做出各种误判。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLHXSUwF5HEUBae2AsVexibgzfEzwgNFMTSJapnY8UPsyy04xDmrnyiadg33rnlVhzIGyGPYeCYOCFYg\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">遗憾的是，这位行为经济学的开山鼻祖，在本周离世。但他留下的精神遗产，仍然有许多值得学习之处。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">今天就来聊聊我们该如何减少偏见，做更好的决定。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Csection>\u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px; margin-left: 16px; line-height: 2em; text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">01 系统1 VS 系统2\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">卡尼曼教授把人类的思考模式，分成2个系统——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「系统1」是我们对外界的本能反应。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLHXSUwF5HEUBae2AsVexibgzLg79sDYg0qUtpZI5acDhKibs7do2727DJBz70ra5a6mibg4KALVvkVPg\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">图源：AI生成\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如看到这张猫猫图片，它哭得很伤心，似乎在为什么事情难过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这些判断对你来说是自动完成的，毫不费力，这就是系统1在发挥作用，这是你的快思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">大部分情况下，这对我们是有用的，举个例子，周围出现的烧焦的味道，你的第一反应是害怕、逃跑，这就是系统1起到的保护作用。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但系统1也会「副作用」。当别人出言质疑你，系统1的保护机制即刻生效，你会马上为自己的立场辩解，但别人说的可能是对的，令你错失改正错误的机会。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「系统2」是逻辑思维，需要我们有意识地进行思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">当你面对一道\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">乘法计算题，比如64乘以33\u003C\u002Fstrong>，你需要集中注意力运算得到结果，这是系统2在发挥作用，也就是慢思考。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对于别人的建议，系统2启动时，也会强压系统1的不愉快，冷静分析利弊，采取是否接受、改进。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">正常状态下，系统2只是按照系统1的建议来做判断。但当系统1遇到麻烦，系统2的理性就会出面解决。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">例如你每天开车回家，选择哪条路线都基于系统1的快思考，通过直觉就可以迅速完成判断；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">而当你到了一个陌生的城市，你往往会慢下来，让系统2的慢思考介入，辨认方向，做出判断。一段安全的旅程，是系统1和系统2的完美合作。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">02 偏见的起点\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我们平时或许以为自己总是理性的。但卡尼曼通过各种心理学实验证明了一件事：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">实际上系统1的直觉式快思考，才是你平时决策和行为的真正主宰。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">为什么呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">因为\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">系统2需要集中注意力，但人类大脑又是懒惰的，不愿意多付出注意力\u003C\u002Fstrong>。在这种惰性之下，系统2往往会对系统1的直观判断无条件接受。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">书里举了一个实验——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">犯人的保释申请成功率，跟审核官吃没吃饭有很大关系。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">要是在用餐后审核，通过率就高达65%，几乎是平均水平的两倍。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">通过率最低的时候，就是是饭前的时段。那会儿他们又饿又累，无法集中精力，保释申请就很难通过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">再看另一个例子，请你用直觉来做下面这2道题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">5台机器能在5分钟生产5个小零件，100台机器生产100个小零件需要多长时间？100分钟还是5分钟？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">睡莲叶子以每天增长1倍的速度向外扩散。如果48天后莲叶就能覆盖整片湖面，那么覆盖湖面一半的面积需要多长时间？24天还是47天？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">研究结果显示，当问卷上的\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">字体清晰\u003C\u002Fstrong>时，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">90%\u003C\u002Fstrong>的普林斯顿学生至少会犯一个错误；但当字体\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">看不清\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">时，他们的错误率却降到了\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">35%\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">是的，你没有看错：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">字体模糊不清时，学生的表现更好。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这是因为，无论认知紧张或是其他原因，它都更有可能\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">激发系统2\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">来抑制系统1所给出的直觉性答案。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">03 常见误区\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">也就是说，如果系统2因为惰性，不能及时启动介入，让系统1主宰思考，我们就容易做出不理性的决策。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">书里对常见误区做了大量举例，咱们挑几个说说——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">1. 处置效应\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这是开头说的「卖出盈利股、保留亏损股」的偏好。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我们在投资时，给每一只股票都开设了账户，并想在关闭每一个账户时都能获利。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果关闭账户\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（亏损卖出）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">，相当于承认自己的失败，情感上很难接受。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">反之，在赢利的情况下关闭心理账户，会令人心情愉悦，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但这种愉悦很可能是你花钱买来的\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 1em 16px 0px; padding: 4px 0px 0px 10px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">研究学者(Odean，1998)研究发现，投资者浮盈卖出的股票在未来一年平均跑赢市场2.35% ，而浮亏持有的股票平均跑输市场1.06%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对一个理性的决策者来说，他只会对投资的未来感兴趣，不会考虑纠正先前的错误。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">2. 前景理论\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">现在有两个问题，你会怎么选呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">问题1：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">A：肯定会得到900美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">B：90%的可能性会得到1000美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">问题2：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">C：必定会损失900美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">D：有90%的可能性损失1000美元\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">相信大多数人会选择A和D：我们在面临获利时，不愿冒风险；而在面临损失时，人人都成了冒险家。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">因为人们对损失和获得的敏感程度是不同的，在许多情境中，损失的痛苦是获得快乐的两倍。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">3. 技能错觉\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这指的是某个领域的专家，经常会高估自己的能力。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">书中提到，股票、经济、政治专家对未来做出的预测，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">并没有比了解少的人强很多\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">学到更多知识的人，往往对自己的技能产生一种无限放大的错觉。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这一点让我们了解到预测中产生错误是不可避免的，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">因为世界本就不可预测\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">4. 大数法则与小数定律\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">系统1非常擅长识别事物之间的因果联系，即使有时这种关系根本就不存在，它也会这样认定。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如书中举例，肾癌发病率最低的县位于人口稀少的乡村，人们会说「因为乡村生活方式健康，空气清新，食品安全」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但肾癌发病率最高的县，同样来自这些乡村，人们又会说「因为乡村医疗条件差、饮食方式不健康。」\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">然而结果的反差，仅仅因为人数太少。相比于大样本，极端的结果\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（高发病率和低发病率）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">更容易出现在小样本中。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 2px; outline: 0px; cursor: pointer; background-image: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A"); background-position: 0px 100%; background-size: auto 2px; background-repeat: repeat-x; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">许多事实可能只是巧合，对偶然事件作出因果关系的解释必然是错误的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">04 如何改进我们的思维？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">纵观上述误区，可以发现，有很多让我们认知放松的情形，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">致使系统1过度自信，没有调用系统2，擅自主张做了决定\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">生活和投资中，我们很容易因为一件事情顺利、感觉良好，就认为自己做对了，其实未必是最佳选择\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（处置效应、前景理论）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">社会层面上，专家们过度自信，侃侃而言，实际正确率并没有很高\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（技能错觉）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">。而人们会为随机性的事件给出自己的解释，忽略了大部分事件最终会回归平均值。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（大数法则与小数定律）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">那我们怎样才能叫醒系统2呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">书中提到了3个小建议——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">1.了解认知错觉的存在\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">大部分人并不知道我们脑袋里不止一种声音，仅仅是跨出这一步，已经是很大的不同了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">当你意识到系统1可能又要犯错，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">就可以放慢节奏，要求系统2出手接管\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">比如你明白股票未来的涨跌，和成本、当下的盈亏无关，就可以把重心放在分析公司财报、行业前景上。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果觉得低估，耐心持有就行；如果确实高估了，那该卖还得卖。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">就像段永平说的：\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「改正错误要尽快，多大的代价都是最小的代价」\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">2.事前验尸\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">简单来说，就是未雨绸缪，防患于未然。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我们可以先假设这件事情失败了，再写下导致这件事失败的可能原因。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这么做的好处，是看到没有考虑，但可能存在的威胁，做事更周全。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">3.饮水机闲谈\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">做决策之前，不妨到比较轻松的环境，比如办公室的饮水机旁，听听大家的闲谈和批评。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">面对这些批评虽然不容易，但比起自己鼓起勇气自我批评，还是容易得多。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"cursor: pointer; background-image: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A"); background-position: 0px 100%; background-size: auto 2px; background-repeat: repeat-x; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对咱们来说，像是买房、买车这样的大额支出，或是遇到跳槽、结婚这样的人生大事，在拍板敲定前，不妨多找身边人商量商量，避免过度乐观。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">好啦，以上就是与你分享的内容。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这本书带给我的最大启发是，我们以为自己做的每一个决策都出于理性计算，符合个人利益最大化。但卡尼曼教授告诉我们，决策过程很可能充斥着偏见和谬误，甚至是自欺欺人。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果我们更愿意在生活中叫醒系统2，让自己必要时累一点，那我们就可以在这个不可预测的世界中，保留多一份理性~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">晚安🌹\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); 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