[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2024020422503810297":3,"related-JP2024020422503810297":32},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"fileInputUrl":11,"articleTitle":12,"coverImage":13,"listImage":14,"introduction":15,"description":16,"nonVipDescription":17,"postTime":18,"viewTime":19,"sortNumber":20,"isFree":21,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":21,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":6,"hasMiniUrl":21,"miniUrl":11,"miniScheme":11,"miniImage":11,"itemTag":11,"createBy":22,"updateBy":22,"createTime":23,"visitCount":24,"isLiked":21,"realSearch":25,"isRead":21,"productId":26,"isCollected":21,"collectCount":10,"vipExclusive":21,"allowComment":7,"style":27,"likeCount":10,"filePath":11,"duration":21,"playStyle":7,"seoKeywords":11,"articleModuleVoList":28,"extendContentList":29,"noteCount":7,"categoryList":30,"dailyKeywordList":31},10,6072,"1",1,"JP2024020422503810297","1041018",3,"","生孩子的人少了，以后还用「卷」吗？","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3375725c-d389-414b-8026-187a459f2892.png","https:\u002F\u002Fjane7-prod.oss-cn-hangzhou.aliyuncs.com\u002Fmanager\u002Farticle_default_img.png","「人口负增长」时代来了","\u003Csection>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">晚上好，我是简七编辑部的犀利君~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">去年听新闻说，印度的全国人口超过14亿人，超越中国成为世界第一人口大国。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">仔细查了一下，原来只是联合国的预测数字，印度方面并没有公布实际数据。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   display: block;  line-height: 2em;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">今年1月，我国公布了最新人口数据，140,967万人：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fea7b1a11-6c2c-4ecc-83e3-e6a2c27f46df.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这意味着，2023年印度全国人口如能达到14.1亿人，那就是世界人口第一大国了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   display: block;  line-height: 2em;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">大家可能没意识到，2022年起我国人口规模已进入「负增长」，这是从1960年以来首次出现的情况。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   display: block;  line-height: 2em;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有些朋友会担心，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">人口负增长还能不能扭转？以后的中国人口会不会越来越少？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">也有人觉得，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">以前人口太多导致竞争太激烈，人少点了是不是就会轻松些，工作机会变得更多，收入也更高一些呢？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">先声明一下，人口问题是个很宏大的话题，一篇文章不可能面面俱到，就挑几个大家比较关心的重点聊聊吧。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; text-align: center; letter-spacing: 2px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F5fb1ca6b-4b47-4483-8b32-c0de94a24647.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 8px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); text-align: center; text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; letter-spacing: 0.578px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">01\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">首先，一国人口的自然增长，取决于两方面，一方面是出生率，另一方面是死亡率。\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">只要出生率高于死亡率，人口就是正增长，反之，死亡率高于出生率，就是人口负增长。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">从1970年代起，我国的死亡率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（黄线）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">基本稳定在7‰上下，出生率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（红线）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">则是大幅波动：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ffb5d369b-4cb4-4a28-828e-9fe95dd9185c.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">上世纪80年代还在20‰附近，之后就一路下滑，到2015年时还维持在10‰以上，但短短几年后，出生率已经比死亡率还要低了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所以，「人口负增长」主要还是出生率太低的缘故，是什么导致生育率大幅下降呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">归纳起来有两条主因：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">一条是人口政策。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">从1982年正式实施「计划生育」政策，到2016年放开全面二胎，这34年有效控制了总人口的过快增长，也导致育龄女性人口的减少；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">另一条是养育成本高，导致人们生育意愿降低。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">特别是住房、教育等相关育儿成本的上升，造成年轻人的生育积极性不如上一代，也加重了青年人口晚婚晚育甚至不生育的倾向。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而人口的增长趋势一旦由正转负，就很难逆转了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">国际上有个通行的指标叫「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">总和生育率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">」——每对夫妇平均生育2.1个孩子，才能使得上下两代人之间人数相等。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">2.1是维持人口世代更替水平的「及格线」，1.5左右则是「警戒线」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">1992年起，中国的「总和生育率」就低于2.1，2020年第七次人口普查数据显示，我国总和生育率降至1.28，跌破警戒线。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">目前在亚洲主要经济体中，中国的「总和生育率」已经低于日本、新加坡，只比韩国要高一些：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3648093b-90ee-4fb7-b10b-0d8fc192d5fb.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果「总和生育率」持续保持低位，总人口减少将是不可避免的趋势，但也不是想象中那样的断崖式下跌。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">根据联合国的预测，2035年预计我国总人口仍在14亿以上，2050年高于13亿，在2078年末左右跌破10亿。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">在可以预见的未来，中国仍然会是世界人口大国\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">，这点还是没有太大疑问的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 8px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-align: center; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; letter-spacing: 2px;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F59fd796a-30ba-4930-bfd7-d95007488f36.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-align: center; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">02\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection>\u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Csection>\u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果说，人口负增长对人口总量的影响还「远在天边」，对人口结构的影响就「近在眼前」了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有一个词叫「人口红利」，指的就是人口结构的年龄优势。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">过去这些年，我国依靠「人口红利」获得了经济高速发展，大量便宜又年轻的劳动力人口，支撑起了中国制造业的腾飞。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有的专家认为，别看「人口红利」当时用得舒服，但它其实是「人口负债」，未来终究是要偿还的：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;  text-align: justify;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   line-height: 2em; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">以前的人口红利越多，事后需要偿还的负债就越重。\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(0, 82, 255); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">《关于我国人口转型的认识和应对之策》\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">中国人民银行工作论文\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">可见「人口红利」并不是免费的午餐，随着大量劳动人口的老去，老龄人口不可避免地会成为人口负担。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">老年人需要社会的赡养，而赡养他们的劳动人口又没过去那么多了，这让年轻人难免觉得「压力山大」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">衡量「人口红利」也有个核心指标，叫「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">总抚养比\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">」——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">总抚养比=非劳动年龄人口数÷劳动年龄人口数。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">*非劳动年龄人口：14岁及以下和65岁及以上人口；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">劳动年龄人口：15到64岁人口。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">举个例子，假设一家有三口，爸爸、妈妈和未成年孩子，总抚养比就是1个非劳动年龄人口数除以2个劳动年龄人口，等于50%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">对全社会来说，总抚养比低于50%，意味着适龄劳动人口养育子女和赡养老人的负担不大，此时享受着「人口红利」；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">总抚养比高于50%，则意味着「人口红利」消失了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">从1994年起，中国的总抚养比从50%附近一路下降，2010年达到最低的35%左右：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9e1f6c51-b3e2-42cf-931b-a07cb88ab680.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">此后曲线开始掉头向上，2022年我国的总抚养比是46.6%，距离50%已经很近了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">根据OECD经合组织的预测，中国在2025年前会超过50%，有些国内专家估计会在2030年左右超过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">不论如何，掰着指头算，「人口红利」确实也没剩几年了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而在「人口红利」完全消失前，经济齿轮也逐渐开始卡顿，没以前转得快了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这是什么道理呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F5422574f-7cb1-4848-b7b4-5fbea3ef8451.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 8px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-indent: 0em; text-decoration-thickness: initial; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; letter-spacing: 0.578px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">03\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 2px; outline: 0px; cursor: pointer; background: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A") 0px 100% \u002F auto 2px repeat-x transparent; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">早在1954年，英国的发展经济学大师、诺贝尔经济学奖得主威廉·阿瑟·刘易斯提出一个经典假说：\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; display: block; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">发展中国家存在「\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">二元结构\u003C\u002Fstrong>」——农业部门和工业部门，农业部门存在大量的「剩余劳动力」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">在实现工业化的过程中，农村「剩余劳动力」向工业部门转移而逐步减少；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">当剩余劳动力被消耗完，工业部门继续扩张，人力成本就会不断上升。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">回顾我国的经济发展历程，基本也遵循着这个模式。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">中国自古都是农业社会，我们的农村人口很多，但土地资源是有限的，需要的劳动力也是有限的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">改革开放后，农村的劳动人口大批流入城市，出现了「民工潮」，他们在工厂打工，拿的工资比种地更高，也能创造出更多价值；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">企业有了廉价劳动力，不断扩大生产规模，进而整个社会的经济就会快速发展。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">直到有一天，农村剩余劳动力出现短缺，企业再增加对工人的需求，就要开始大幅涨工资了，这个现象的出现被命名为「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">刘易斯拐点\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   line-height: 2em; ;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我国的「刘易斯拐点」在什么时候出现？大致是在2012年前后：\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ff9ee562a-7bcc-4a36-982a-7ebc4c776a0b.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">2011年我国适龄劳动人口\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（15-59岁）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">达到9.41亿人高峰，此后持续下降，到2021年为8.75亿人。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">一旦劳动力开始短缺，企业的人力成本会持续上升，进而拖累经济增长步伐，卡住经济齿轮的转速。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">破局之道，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">唯有切换新的经济增长方式，才能继续维持高增速。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F6c48c21d-9845-4d9f-aeac-faec0340e8f6.jpg\" alt=\"图片\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;margin: 0px 16px 8px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-indent: 0em; text-decoration-thickness: initial; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; letter-spacing: 0.578px;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(214, 168, 65); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">04\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">事实上，我国也早就认识到了这一点，这两年在尝试把经济增长的引擎，从劳动密集型产业逐步转为高新技术产业。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">2018年起，新能源汽车、光伏、芯片等高科技产业得到政府重点支持；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">成立科创板、北交所帮助一批「专精特新」中小企业上市，都是希望通过提高技术效率，实现劳动力生产水平提升。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">由于整个切换过程需要时间，现在我们仍处于过渡期，一旦经济稍有波动，有些人就会动摇，想能不能走回老路。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">过去经济遭遇低迷，会通过大力刺激房地产来提振内需，进入「人口负增长」时代，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对于房产的刚性需求下降是必然趋势\u003C\u002Fstrong>，刺激房地产市场只能管一时，不能管一世。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">在不依靠「房地产救市」的背景下，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如何做强做大国有企业，让优质国企成为国民经济的重要支柱\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">，或许也是未来的一个新方向。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">摸清了这个思路，我们就能理解高层为何提出「建立具有中国特色的估值体系」，以及近两年「中特估」一类的国央企股票为啥涨得那么好了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">走老路恐怕是行不通了，国家要走新的经济发展道路，个人也是如此。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有些人觉得，随着劳动力减少，工人的工资都比过去高了，哪怕进厂拧螺丝的收入也不差，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">学历是不是就没那么大意义了？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">但有没有想过，人工智能当下发展得如此迅速，一方面很多行业的基础性工作迟早会被机器人取代，另一方面，过去没有的新岗位会被创造出来。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">新岗位的专业门槛更高，对于没有学习能力的人，失业了很难找到新工作，随着年龄增加，纯体力工作也有干不动的一天。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">不论如何，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">教育水平的提高，未来仍有助于个人就业机会的增加。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">相信随着劳动力人口素质的提升，中国的经济增长模式从「人口红利」驱动，成功转型为靠科技创新驱动，实现高质量的经济增长。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px;     letter-spacing: 0.544px;       text-decoration-thickness: initial;   line-height: 2em; ;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">晚安🌹\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Cp>\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>","\u003Csection>\u003Cp style=\"margin-right: 16px; margin-left: 16px; line-height: 2em;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">晚上好，我是简七编辑部的犀利君~\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003Cp>\u003Csection>\u003Cp style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Optima-Regular, PingFangTC-light; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">去年听新闻说，印度的全国人口超过14亿人，超越中国成为世界第一人口大国。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">仔细查了一下，原来只是联合国的预测数字，印度方面并没有公布实际数据。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">今年1月，我国公布了最新人口数据，140,967万人：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_jpg\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLE9Pw7IVdLqH9bUEcDA1Mciah1rRv6R3E5fickss9XyW8KmZiadcwiczoiaxmvBz7qp2zicE7MFdKHhat0w\u002F640?wx_fmt=jpeg&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这意味着，2023年印度全国人口如能达到14.1亿人，那就是世界人口第一大国了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">大家可能没意识到，2022年起我国人口规模已进入「负增长」，这是从1960年以来首次出现的情况。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">有些朋友会担心，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">人口负增长还能不能扭转？以后的中国人口会不会越来越少？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">也有人觉得，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">以前人口太多导致竞争太激烈，人少点了是不是就会轻松些，工作机会变得更多，收入也更高一些呢？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">先声明一下，人口问题是个很宏大的话题，一篇文章不可能面面俱到，就挑几个大家比较关心的重点聊聊吧。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; text-align: center; letter-spacing: 2px; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 8px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.578px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">01\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">首先，一国人口的自然增长，取决于两方面，一方面是出生率，另一方面是死亡率。\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">只要出生率高于死亡率，人口就是正增长，反之，死亡率高于出生率，就是人口负增长。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">从1970年代起，我国的死亡率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（黄线）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">基本稳定在7‰上下，出生率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（红线）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">则是大幅波动：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLE9Pw7IVdLqH9bUEcDA1MciaTclZrOqUp15UPia4ia4fB2Hl1j6W9Zkm7vAAP63zwh2C1XXP10AKHGsA\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">上世纪80年代还在20‰附近，之后就一路下滑，到2015年时还维持在10‰以上，但短短几年后，出生率已经比死亡率还要低了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">所以，「人口负增长」主要还是出生率太低的缘故，是什么导致生育率大幅下降呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">归纳起来有两条主因：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">一条是人口政策。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">从1982年正式实施「计划生育」政策，到2016年放开全面二胎，这34年有效控制了总人口的过快增长，也导致育龄女性人口的减少；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">另一条是养育成本高，导致人们生育意愿降低。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">特别是住房、教育等相关育儿成本的上升，造成年轻人的生育积极性不如上一代，也加重了青年人口晚婚晚育甚至不生育的倾向。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">而人口的增长趋势一旦由正转负，就很难逆转了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">国际上有个通行的指标叫「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">总和生育率\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">」——每对夫妇平均生育2.1个孩子，才能使得上下两代人之间人数相等。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">2.1是维持人口世代更替水平的「及格线」，1.5左右则是「警戒线」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">1992年起，中国的「总和生育率」就低于2.1，2020年第七次人口普查数据显示，我国总和生育率降至1.28，跌破警戒线。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">目前在亚洲主要经济体中，中国的「总和生育率」已经低于日本、新加坡，只比韩国要高一些：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLE9Pw7IVdLqH9bUEcDA1Mciayq3watKjAI3kKNqo2NkzoJNibAIv6X0anFLfVo8AfdIYgs1yVn73jpw\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果「总和生育率」持续保持低位，总人口减少将是不可避免的趋势，但也不是想象中那样的断崖式下跌。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">根据联合国的预测，2035年预计我国总人口仍在14亿以上，2050年高于13亿，在2078年末左右跌破10亿。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">在可以预见的未来，中国仍然会是世界人口大国\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">，这点还是没有太大疑问的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 8px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; letter-spacing: 2px; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">02\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Csection>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003Csection>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果说，人口负增长对人口总量的影响还「远在天边」，对人口结构的影响就「近在眼前」了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">有一个词叫「人口红利」，指的就是人口结构的年龄优势。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">过去这些年，我国依靠「人口红利」获得了经济高速发展，大量便宜又年轻的劳动力人口，支撑起了中国制造业的腾飞。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">有的专家认为，别看「人口红利」当时用得舒服，但它其实是「人口负债」，未来终究是要偿还的：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cblockquote style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; border-left: 3px solid rgb(219, 219, 219); color: var(--weui-FG-1); font-size: 15px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">以前的人口红利越多，事后需要偿还的负债就越重。\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 14px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(0, 82, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">《关于我国人口转型的认识和应对之策》\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">中国人民银行工作论文\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">可见「人口红利」并不是免费的午餐，随着大量劳动人口的老去，老龄人口不可避免地会成为人口负担。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">老年人需要社会的赡养，而赡养他们的劳动人口又没过去那么多了，这让年轻人难免觉得「压力山大」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">衡量「人口红利」也有个核心指标，叫「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">总抚养比\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">」——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">总抚养比=非劳动年龄人口数÷劳动年龄人口数。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">*非劳动年龄人口：14岁及以下和65岁及以上人口；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">劳动年龄人口：15到64岁人口。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">举个例子，假设一家有三口，爸爸、妈妈和未成年孩子，总抚养比就是1个非劳动年龄人口数除以2个劳动年龄人口，等于50%。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对全社会来说，总抚养比低于50%，意味着适龄劳动人口养育子女和赡养老人的负担不大，此时享受着「人口红利」；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">总抚养比高于50%，则意味着「人口红利」消失了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">从1994年起，中国的总抚养比从50%附近一路下降，2010年达到最低的35%左右：\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLE9Pw7IVdLqH9bUEcDA1Mcia7HPq529vQgVSccYldf9XDQIFthPGvPFklqVz4gNz4xU58DkPR65JkA\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">此后曲线开始掉头向上，2022年我国的总抚养比是46.6%，距离50%已经很近了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">根据OECD经合组织的预测，中国在2025年前会超过50%，有些国内专家估计会在2030年左右超过。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">不论如何，掰着指头算，「人口红利」确实也没剩几年了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">而在「人口红利」完全消失前，经济齿轮也逐渐开始卡顿，没以前转得快了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">这是什么道理呢？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 8px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-indent: 0em; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.578px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">03\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 2px; outline: 0px; cursor: pointer; background-image: url("data:image\u002Fsvg+xml,%3Csvg width='8' height='2' viewBox='0 0 8 2' fill='none' xmlns='http:\u002F\u002Fwww.w3.org\u002F2000\u002Fsvg'%3E%3Cpath d='M3.25 1.5H0.75C0.335786 1.5 0 1.16421 0 0.75C0 0.335786 0.335786 0 0.75 0H3.25C3.66421 0 4 0.335786 4 0.75C4 1.16421 3.66421 1.5 3.25 1.5Z' fill='%2307C160' fill-opacity='0.5'\u002F%3E%3C\u002Fsvg%3E%0A"); background-position: 0px 100%; background-size: auto 2px; background-repeat: repeat-x; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">早在1954年，英国的发展经济学大师、诺贝尔经济学奖得主威廉·阿瑟·刘易斯提出一个经典假说：\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">发展中国家存在「\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">二元结构\u003C\u002Fstrong>」——农业部门和工业部门，农业部门存在大量的「剩余劳动力」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">在实现工业化的过程中，农村「剩余劳动力」向工业部门转移而逐步减少；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">当剩余劳动力被消耗完，工业部门继续扩张，人力成本就会不断上升。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">回顾我国的经济发展历程，基本也遵循着这个模式。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">中国自古都是农业社会，我们的农村人口很多，但土地资源是有限的，需要的劳动力也是有限的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">改革开放后，农村的劳动人口大批流入城市，出现了「民工潮」，他们在工厂打工，拿的工资比种地更高，也能创造出更多价值；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">企业有了廉价劳动力，不断扩大生产规模，进而整个社会的经济就会快速发展。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">直到有一天，农村剩余劳动力出现短缺，企业再增加对工人的需求，就要开始大幅涨工资了，这个现象的出现被命名为「\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(214, 168, 65); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">刘易斯拐点\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">我国的「刘易斯拐点」在什么时候出现？大致是在2012年前后：\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fsz_mmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLE9Pw7IVdLqH9bUEcDA1Mcia0rOAP1NYwyK4YeTPUNicUibJibUs62NIicBUPjc3VJHURTzVBkCNtdh6lw\u002F640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">2011年我国适龄劳动人口\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(136, 136, 136); font-size: 14px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">（15-59岁）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">达到9.41亿人高峰，此后持续下降，到2021年为8.75亿人。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">一旦劳动力开始短缺，企业的人力成本会持续上升，进而拖累经济增长步伐，卡住经济齿轮的转速。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">破局之道，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">唯有切换新的经济增长方式，才能继续维持高增速。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmmbiz.qpic.cn\u002Fmmbiz_png\u002FAm8Qfs8miaLFP0y47k36rNGDhCM5HeemPTZzibYyT7q97SZBc8cEmoSejpfbhoCxlYgIzj9PyTM3oAzzaCIWbM5w\u002F640?wx_fmt=png\" alt=\"图片\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px 8px; text-align: center; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; text-indent: 0em; letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 2em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(214, 168, 65); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; text-indent: 0em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 2px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.578px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); text-indent: 0em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">04\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">事实上，我国也早就认识到了这一点，这两年在尝试把经济增长的引擎，从劳动密集型产业逐步转为高新技术产业。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">2018年起，新能源汽车、光伏、芯片等高科技产业得到政府重点支持；\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">成立科创板、北交所帮助一批「专精特新」中小企业上市，都是希望通过提高技术效率，实现劳动力生产水平提升。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">由于整个切换过程需要时间，现在我们仍处于过渡期，一旦经济稍有波动，有些人就会动摇，想能不能走回老路。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">过去经济遭遇低迷，会通过大力刺激房地产来提振内需，进入「人口负增长」时代，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">对于房产的刚性需求下降是必然趋势\u003C\u002Fstrong>，刺激房地产市场只能管一时，不能管一世。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">在不依靠「房地产救市」的背景下，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如何做强做大国有企业，让优质国企成为国民经济的重要支柱\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">，或许也是未来的一个新方向。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">摸清了这个思路，我们就能理解高层为何提出「建立具有中国特色的估值体系」，以及近两年「中特估」一类的国央企股票为啥涨得那么好了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">走老路恐怕是行不通了，国家要走新的经济发展道路，个人也是如此。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">有些人觉得，随着劳动力减少，工人的工资都比过去高了，哪怕进厂拧螺丝的收入也不差，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">学历是不是就没那么大意义了？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">但有没有想过，人工智能当下发展得如此迅速，一方面很多行业的基础性工作迟早会被机器人取代，另一方面，过去没有的新岗位会被创造出来。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">新岗位的专业门槛更高，对于没有学习能力的人，失业了很难找到新工作，随着年龄增加，纯体力工作也有干不动的一天。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">不论如何，\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); background-color: rgb(255, 218, 169); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">教育水平的提高，未来仍有助于个人就业机会的增加。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">相信随着劳动力人口素质的提升，中国的经济增长模式从「人口红利」驱动，成功转型为靠科技创新驱动，实现高质量的经济增长。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp style=\"margin: 0px 16px; text-align: justify; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 2em; font-family: -apple-system, "system-ui", "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 1px; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">晚安🌹\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Csection>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fsection>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>\u003Cbr\u002F>\u003C\u002Fp>","2024-02-04 22:53:08","2024-02-05 17:00:00",100,0,"liufei@jane7.com","2024-02-04 22:50:38",42,false,16026,"1038002",[],[],[],[],[]]