[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-JP2022100915175240691":3,"related-JP2022100915175240691":33},{"pageSize":4,"id":5,"productLine":6,"status":7,"articleCode":8,"articleType":9,"showStyle":7,"mediaType":10,"fileInputUrl":11,"articleTitle":12,"coverImage":13,"listImage":14,"introduction":15,"description":16,"nonVipDescription":11,"postTime":17,"viewTime":17,"sortNumber":18,"isFree":19,"isShowList":7,"isRecommend":19,"linkType":7,"isOriginal":20,"hasMiniUrl":19,"miniUrl":11,"miniScheme":11,"miniImage":11,"hasAdvertising":19,"itemTag":11,"createBy":21,"updateBy":21,"createTime":22,"visitCount":23,"isLiked":19,"realSearch":24,"isRead":19,"productId":25,"isCollected":19,"collectCount":26,"vipExclusive":19,"allowComment":7,"style":27,"likeCount":28,"duration":19,"playStyle":7,"seoKeywords":11,"articleModuleVoList":29,"extendContentList":30,"noteCount":26,"categoryList":31,"dailyKeywordList":32},10,5146,"1",1,"JP2022100915175240691","1041018",3,"","1个聪明人很容易犯的错","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F7c6cbc6a-bcc2-4407-89a6-6fcbf60b8897.png","https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3dd1a71b-998f-4d33-b7a3-c09ba5b72b48.png","越有创造力，越容易犯","\u003Csection>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">大家好，我是很帅的狐狸\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">今天我想分享一个\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n \u003Csection>\n  \u003Csection>\n   \u003Cp style=\"vertical-align: inherit; margin-left: 15px; margin-right: 15px; text-align: center;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我过往投资时\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"> \u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u003Cstrong style=\"color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">常犯的错\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n   \u003Cp style=\"vertical-align: inherit; margin-left: 15px; margin-right: 15px;\"> \u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这个错误，这些年我已经慢慢纠正了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.310857px;\">不过前段时间，有个同事也出现了类似的问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.310857px;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所以我也来了兴致，想好好聊聊这个话题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fb3a565a8-d497-46f5-835c-d736663644d9.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">事情要从两个牛×的投资逻辑说起——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fb8730264-adc8-49fe-b674-616313cf72f4.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; visibility: visible;\">Part 1\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; visibility: visible;\">🧠 两个投资逻辑 🧠\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有部美剧叫《硅谷》，讲的是硅谷创投圈的故事。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">第一季里头有这么个桥段——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">某奇葩投资人让下属把汉堡王的所有产品都买了一份。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">他发现，汉堡王数十亿个汉堡上都撒了堆芝麻。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3267de7a-79e3-4377-96e6-38d44ca45d63.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; visibility: visible; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; visibility: visible; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">然后他发现，全球三大芝麻供应商的其中两个（缅甸和巴西）都有\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 16px;\">周期蝉\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">的存在。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">缅甸的蝉灾每13年一次；巴西的每17年一次。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">下一年，两国的蝉灾会同时发生，这是\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">221年一遇\u003C\u002Fstrong>的现象。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这会导致农作物减产。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而另一个主要芝麻出口国印尼明年则没有蝉灾。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">看来到时候它们的芝麻会很抢手。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所以这个投资人买入了还没开始上涨的印尼芝麻期货，赚了几千万美金。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">看完这个案例，我想到了学生年代我看过的一本书——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fd44f5172-f4ab-424c-a957-c4ce8c14cd43.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">里头有这么个案例——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有投资者留意到巴西久旱逢甘霖。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而巴西同时是全球最大的咖啡出口国。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">脱离旱情后，咖啡的产量会增加，同时咖啡的价格会被砸下来。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这对星巴克是一件好事：咖啡采购成本会下降，利润因此会上来。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所以这个投资者买入了星巴克股票。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">类似的投资逻辑很多，基本上可以总结为——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">发现了一个不起眼的现象，经过多步推理后，找到一个赚钱的机会。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ff6926ae5-35d7-47c0-960a-9dcd5e4c6e45.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fecc0b5fc-d713-428c-8e8a-7739dc085581.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">在我第一次看到《如果巴西下雨就买星巴克股票》这本书的时候，当时我的感受就是，这就像是看魔术表演一样，觉得超级无敌酷！\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F28cd6103-3b24-4282-b7c8-aca40fa05bb5.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">然后我就有样学样，开始了——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F68ee4f39-a08b-4cf1-9b48-4ba9993743d2.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">Part 2\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">😵 我的傻×推导 😵\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">看完那本书后，我开始有个奇怪的习惯——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我尝试去放大日常生活里的一些微观事实，开始去做一连串的推导。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">很多报纸上过往我会觉得平平无奇的新闻，我也给它们赋予了额外的意义。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fd76087f3-e543-4b21-90f8-17c69af44b9d.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">当时，我看到一个新闻——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F7da17ccf-988a-4b7f-b67f-ba47c6acb3b2.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cbr>  \n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">于是我开始了我的推导——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F807ea336-fd17-4050-92cc-087921f69594.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">然后我很兴奋地拿着这个逻辑，跑去一个好朋友（某投行经济学家）那儿找她讨论。\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">她看了下我的推论后，不失礼貌地否定了我的结论——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「你这个推导链条太长了吧，前提条件离结论太远了」\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我当时还有点忿忿不平。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">不过现在看，还好当时没去交易，不然可能会亏得很惨。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">因为这些年我总算是读了不少书，开始慢慢建立了自己的框架。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">我发现，当年的整个逻辑链的推导，其实犯了一个行为经济学里头超级无敌常见的一个逻辑谬误——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fe2a8f7ee-c558-4727-afee-80f9d297111b.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3d31366c-8f6f-40b3-a695-114221e23074.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">Part 3\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">🤕 滑坡谬误 🤕\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所谓「滑坡谬误」，就是使用了一连串的因果推论，不过在这个过程中夸大了每一个环节的因果关系，所以得到了一个不那么靠谱的结论。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">举个夸张一点的例子你就懂了——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F9f5b39d8-825a-46d7-a2d9-011eb8baf25e.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">于是我们得出了\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「如果我不好好学习，人类就会灭亡」\u003C\u002Fstrong>的结论…\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">之所以结论会有问题，主要是因为，这个推导主要是基于联想去作出假设，但是没有去验证每一个假设。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F86687109-2b0e-4bdf-a616-1502a02fe44f.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">实际上，链条上的\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">每个环节成立的概率并不一定是100%\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">首先，有可能是\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">影响后置环节的因素并不唯一\u003C\u002Fstrong>。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如前面的例子，学生能不能毕业，跟是不是有在好好学习有关，也跟本身的天赋、特长和品行等因素有关。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F541e7570-befc-4413-800e-e364f719fffb.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">环节不成立也有可能是因为，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">常识与专业知识可能并不一致。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如我们的常识会认为，如果老师没心思教学，那么学生受教育程度就会受到影响。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">但是某些实践结果表明，老师「放养」学生，学生的自学能力反而会更强，学习效果会更好。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如我以前跟大家提过一个叫做「42」的学校——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这个学校的学生每天都在寻找答案的过程中学习。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">学生每天早上 8:42 时会收到一道问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">学校没有老师，你可以借助搜索引擎、查书、问同学，穷尽各种方式解决这个问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">「42」硅谷分校的毕业生被Twitter、Snapchat等公司哄抢，因为这些学生特别擅长「解决问题」。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">从这个角度来看，我当年的推论就很有问题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F2b7ac905-2fcb-4270-8c16-aa5b0a277170.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">① 亚马逊丛林覆盖六个国家，干旱的地方一定覆盖巴西的部分吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">② 巴西每年出口树木数量，一定跟当地树木存活率挂钩吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">③ 我国从巴西进口的木材足够多吗？是否多到可以动摇价格？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（实际上我们大多木材来自俄罗斯、新西兰和部分欧洲国家）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">④ 造纸一定要用木材吗？原料价格上涨是否会传导到下游？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（除了木材，也可以用草\u002F麻\u002F苇\u002F蔗\u002F竹\u002F破布等，而价格是否能传导也跟产业链环节的集中度有关）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">⑤ 纸价上涨能不能覆盖原材料上涨？对A股的纸业股票一定是利好吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（也有可能纸价涨得没有原料涨得多，而且纸价上涨也可能会拉低整体销量）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fd24a14b4-34a8-4cc1-a020-d5738ab29385.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 16px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">最一开始的两个投资逻辑也有问题——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F8c948027-93be-416f-95b2-f39cb6e75afd.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">① 周期蝉一定会影响芝麻产量吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（实际上周期蝉存在时间只有4~6周，而且防治方法极其简单，对农作物影响不大）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">② 其他两地芝麻减产，三大产地以外的芝麻能否补位？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（扩产能是不是很容易的事情？）\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">芝麻变贵是否会让汉堡王等需求方改产品？\u003C\u002Fstrong>（变成无芝麻版本，也就是要考量需求的弹性）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Fbd63f0d3-595a-439f-a942-5f304f954111.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">① 下大雨是一次性的还是持续性的？一定能缓解旱灾吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">② 旱灾缓解一定意味着咖啡豆会丰收吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（没有其他自然灾害？比如蝉灾🤣？）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">③ 咖啡豆丰收了，巴西出口的咖啡豆就一定会降价吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（是不是有垄断\u002F寡头现象？可以自由控价？）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">④ 星巴克的成本一定会下降吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（它买的一定是巴西咖啡吗？实际上星巴克用期货\u002F远期合同固定了咖啡豆的采购价格，就算咖啡豆市场价跌了，对星巴克当年的咖啡豆成本影响并不大。除了咖啡豆，星巴克还有很多其他成本，有没有可能人力成本最近上涨了抵消了咖啡豆的成本优化？）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">⑤ 星巴克的利润一定会上涨吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（除了成本，还有收入要考量，有没有可能因为疫情影响，整体收入受到较大影响？）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">⑥ 利润上涨，股价就一定涨吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（股价除了跟利润有关，也跟估值相关）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F48a2b038-4a49-4ad7-a01f-cb86656bb994.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">顺带一提，现在很多「大棋论」「阴谋论」的自媒体都会有这个问题。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">比如回形针的「中国人吃肉蛋奶会导致巴西热带雨林的消亡」——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cul class=\" list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 30px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; text-align: justify; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n   \u003Cli>\u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">中国人的肉蛋奶需求真的更大吗？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（人均肉消耗量美国可是第一，是中国的两倍）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fli>\n  \u003C\u002Ful>\n  \u003Cul class=\" list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 30px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; text-align: justify; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n   \u003Cli>\u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">中国进口肉蛋奶和大豆多吗？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（我们的猪肉牛肉对外依存度不高，大豆确实进口了不少）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fli>\n  \u003C\u002Ful>\n  \u003Cul class=\" list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 30px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; text-align: justify; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n   \u003Cli>\u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">巴西出口大豆大多都是到中国吗？\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（确实，73.1%）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fli>\n  \u003C\u002Ful>\n  \u003Cul class=\" list-paddingleft-2\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 30px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; text-align: justify; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\n   \u003Cli>\u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: 17px; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">巴西的大豆都产自被毁坏的森林吗？\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">（这个没找到数据）\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\u003C\u002Fli>\n  \u003C\u002Ful>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">OK，搞清了这个容易犯的错误，我们会更容易排除掉不靠谱的逻辑。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F3e3a52e2-db90-4eca-aa41-acfc77cf90de.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002Ff286dd5d-b911-478a-8ef0-b916b9d6decd.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; background-color: rgba(255, 246, 122, 0.8); font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">Part 4\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Ch1 style=\"margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; font-weight: 400; font-size: 16px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: 0.310857px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); white-space: pre-wrap; line-height: 2em; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">🤔 另一个问题 🤔\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fh1>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">有些时候，市场没有你那么聪明。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">虽然你已经到了第五层，但是可能市场上的大多数人还在第二层。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而投资这件事情，孤独的人是比较难赚得到钱的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:center;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px 0em; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F2686fd75-fd46-4216-bf89-7a20fcf71a21.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">用炒房来举例就是，如果所有人都觉得一线城市的房价会涨，那么大家就都会冲进去一线城市买房。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这样就推高了房价，验证了之前这些人的假设。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">这是市场的\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">「反身性」\u003C\u002Fstrong>，如果你看过索罗斯的书《金融炼金术》的话，估计会很熟悉。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">所以当你意识到市场没你聪明的时候，\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">如果价格还没发生变化\u003C\u002Fstrong>，这时候顺着市场的错误逻辑去走，反而能赚点钱。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">当然，当唯一清醒的人也不是没有好处——\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">如果市场大军已经跑进去把价格炒到高得不行了，这时候你倒是可以反手一个做空。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">因为随着时间的推移，有瑕疵的逻辑是会被证伪的。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u003Cstrong style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;\">市场会慢慢清醒。\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">而你，在这时候会有先发优势。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Cp style=\"text-align:justify;vertical-align: inherit; margin: 0px 15px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.310857px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); line-height: 2em; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;\">\u003Cspan style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">今天的文章逻辑挺简单的，所以我就不画总结图了。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003Csection>\n   \u003Csection>\n    \u003Cbr>  \n   \u003C\u002Fsection>\n   \u003Csection>\n    \u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;margin-left: 15px; margin-right: 15px;\">\u003Cimg class=\"rich_pages wxw-img\" alt=\"图片\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fimage.jane7.com\u002F39dd202f-7258-4140-bf66-2fa6bdbe4e1d.jpg\">\u003C\u002Fp>\n   \u003C\u002Fsection>\n   \u003Cp style=\"vertical-align:inherit;\">\u003Cbr>\u003C\u002Fp>\n  \u003C\u002Fsection>\n \u003C\u002Fsection>\n\u003C\u002Fsection>","2022-10-10 06:25:00",100,0,"0","jane7@jane7.com","2022-10-09 15:17:52",201,false,14929,11,"1038002",6,[],[],[],[],[]]